Apartment rents drop further, with vacancies at record high

News Brief: U.S. Apartment Rents Fall as Vacancies Hit Record High

Summary

The U.S. apartment market is cooling significantly, with rents falling for the fourth consecutive month and the national vacancy rate reaching a record high of 7.2% in November. This trend is driven by a large wave of new apartment supply entering the market just as demand, particularly from younger adults, weakens.

Key Points

  • Rents & Vacancies: The national median rent fell 1% in November to $1,367 and is down 5.2% from its 2022 peak. The vacancy rate held at a record high of 7.2%.
  • Supply & Demand Mismatch: A historic construction surge is now slowing, but many new units are still opening. Demand is weak, especially from young adults (aged 18-34), 32.5% of whom now live with family due to high rents and a tough job market.
  • Market Impact: Major apartment REIT stocks (e.g., AvalonBay, Equity Residential) are down year-to-date. Rent declines are sharpest in markets like Austin (due to oversupply), Las Vegas (slower tourism), and Boston (reduced biotech funding and foreign students).
  • Renter Shift: Renters are searching more in affordable Midwest markets. Cincinnati, Atlanta, and Kansas City were top search destinations last summer.
  • Outlook: New supply is expected to decline through 2027, but near-term supply estimates for 2025-2026 were revised upward. The market may stabilize as construction slows, but weak labor market conditions threaten demand.

新闻简报:美国公寓租金下降,空置率创历史新高

摘要

美国公寓市场显著降温,租金连续第四个月下降,11月全国空置率达到7.2%的历史新高。这一趋势是由大量新公寓供应进入市场,同时需求(尤其是来自年轻成年人的需求)疲软所驱动的。

关键点

  • 租金与空置率:11月全国租金中位数下降1%至1,367美元,较2022年峰值下降5.2%。空置率维持在7.2%的历史高位。
  • 供需错配:历史性的建设热潮正在放缓,但仍有大量新单元上市。需求疲软,尤其是年轻成年人(18-34岁),其中32.5%因高租金和严峻的就业市场而与家人同住。
  • 市场影响:主要公寓REIT股票(如AvalonBay、Equity Residential)年内下跌。奥斯汀(供应过剩)、拉斯维加斯(旅游业放缓)和波士顿(生物技术资金和外国学生减少)等市场的租金跌幅最大。
  • 租客转向:租客更多在负担得起的中西部市场寻找房源。去年夏季,辛辛那提、亚特兰大和堪萨斯城是搜索量最高的目的地。
  • 展望:预计新供应量在2027年前将持续下降,但2025-2026年的近期供应预测被上调。随着建设放缓,市场可能趋于稳定,但疲软的劳动力市场状况威胁需求。

Original Article Link: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/02/apartment-rents-vacancies-november.html

Scroll to Top