Home prices are getting slightly more affordable, but down payments are still holding buyers back

Real Estate Market Brief

Summary

While lower mortgage rates and easing home prices are improving overall housing affordability, saving for a down payment remains the primary obstacle for first-time buyers, now taking an average of seven years.

Key Points

  • Affordability Mixed: Mortgage rates have fallen from over 7% to ~6.19%, and monthly payments are ~$200 lower than a year ago for a median-priced home. However, home prices are nearly flat nationally (up only 0.3% year-over-year) and lag behind consumer inflation.
  • Down Payment Hurdle: The typical homebuyer needs 7 years to save for a down payment, down from 12 years in 2022 but double pre-pandemic levels. Down payments are cited as the biggest barrier to homeownership.
  • Market Disparities: Home price changes vary significantly by city. Chicago, New York, and Cleveland saw gains, while Tampa, Phoenix, and Dallas experienced declines.
  • Supply & Demand Shifts: Active listings are up 12% from a year ago (but still 6% below pre-pandemic levels). Pending home sales rose 3.3% in November, reaching a nearly three-year high, indicating increased buyer activity.

房地产市场简报

摘要

尽管抵押贷款利率下降和房价趋缓正在改善整体住房可负担性,但为首付攒钱仍然是首次购房者的主要障碍,目前平均需要七年时间。

关键点

  • 可负担性喜忧参半:抵押贷款利率已从超过7%降至约6.19%,对于中位价房屋,月供比一年前平均减少约200美元。然而,全国房价几乎持平(同比仅上涨0.3%),且涨幅落后于消费者通胀。
  • 首付障碍:典型购房者需要7年时间为首付储蓄,虽低于2022年的12年,但仍是疫情前水平的两倍。首付被认为是购房的最大障碍。
  • 市场差异显著:房价变化因城市而异。芝加哥、纽约和克利夫兰出现上涨,而坦帕、凤凰城和达拉斯则出现下跌。
  • 供需变化:活跃挂牌房源比一年前增加12%(但仍比疫情前水平低6%)。11月成屋待完成销售量增长3.3%,达到近三年来的最高点,表明买家活动增加。

Original Article Link: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/30/home-prices-affordable-down-payments-buyers.html

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