ENGLISH NEWS BRIEF
Summary
Holiday hiring by retailers is projected to drop to its lowest level in at least 15 years, reflecting a softening labor market. However, despite this cautious hiring stance and various economic headwinds, overall holiday spending is expected to reach a record high, surpassing $1 trillion for the first time.
Key Points
- Record Low Hiring: Retailers are expected to hire only 265,000 to 365,000 seasonal workers, the lowest since the Great Recession and a significant drop from 442,000 a year ago.
- Strong Spending Forecast: Holiday spending from Nov 1 to Dec 31 is predicted to hit a record $1.1 trillion to $1.2 trillion, representing 3.7% to 4.2% year-over-year growth.
- Economic Uncertainty: Higher costs from tariffs, a prolonged government shutdown, and a general uncertain environment are cited as key reasons for cautious hiring.
- Mixed Labor Market: While hiring is slow, the private sector saw net job growth in October, reversing previous losses. However, layoff announcements also surged to their highest October level since 2003.
中文新闻简报
总结
零售商假日招聘预计将降至至少15年来的最低水平，反映出劳动力市场疲软。然而，尽管存在这种谨慎的招聘态度和各种经济阻力，总体假日支出预计将达到历史新高，首次突破1万亿美元。
关键点
- 招聘创历史新低：零售商预计仅招聘26.5万至36.5万名季节性员工，这是自大衰退以来的最低水平，较去年同期的44.2万人大幅下降。
- 强劲的支出预测：预计从11月1日到12月31日的假日支出将达到创纪录的1.1万亿至1.2万亿美元，同比增长3.7%至4.2%。
- 经济不确定性：关税带来的成本上升、长期的政府停摆以及普遍的不确定环境是导致招聘谨慎的主要原因。
- 劳动力市场喜忧参半：尽管招聘缓慢，私营部门在10月份出现了净就业增长，扭转了之前的损失。然而，裁员公告也飙升至2003年以来的10月份最高水平。
Original Article Link: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/06/retail-holiday-hiring-to-hit-lowest-level-in-15-years-nrf.html