Daily News Brief
English Version
Prediction Markets Poised for Trillion-Dollar Boom, Fueled by Sports
Summary: A new report forecasts that prediction markets could reach $1 trillion in annual trading volume by 2030, driven largely by sports wagering. While regulatory hurdles exist, strong consumer demand and brand investment signal massive growth potential for this emerging asset class.
- Explosive Growth Forecast: Research firm Eilers & Krejcik projects prediction markets could see $1 trillion in annual trading volume by the end of the decade.
- Sports as Primary Driver: Sports-related predictions are expected to account for 44% of the total volume as markets mature.
- Regulatory Hurdles: Legal challenges are noted as a potential obstacle to this exponential growth trajectory.
- Market Expansion & Convergence: Traditional sportsbooks (FanDuel, DraftKings) and investing platforms (Robinhood) are launching prediction features, blurring the lines between investing and gambling.
- Early Stage Potential: Analysts describe the current market as the “early innings” of scaling, with institutional participation likely to follow.
中文版本
预测市场或迎万亿美元热潮，体育博彩成为主要驱动力
简报摘要：一份新报告预测，到2030年，预测市场的年交易量可能达到1万亿美元，其中体育相关预测将占据近半壁江山。尽管面临监管挑战，但强劲的消费者需求和各大品牌的投入预示着这一新兴资产类别巨大的增长潜力。
- 增长预测惊人：研究机构Eilers & Krejcik预测，到本年代末，预测市场的年交易量可能达到1万亿美元。
- 体育成为核心动力：随着市场成熟，体育相关预测预计将占总交易量的44%。
- 监管障碍存在：法律和监管挑战可能成为指数级增长的潜在障碍。
- 市场扩张与融合：传统体育博彩平台（FanDuel, DraftKings）和投资平台（Robinhood）纷纷推出预测功能，投资与赌博的界限日益模糊。
- 处于发展早期：分析师认为当前市场处于指数级扩张的”早期阶段”，机构投资者很可能随后入场。
Original Article Link: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/17/prediction-markets-trillion-dollar-trading-volume-ek-report.html