Financial News Brief
Summary
Following a mixed Australian jobs report, market expectations for an RBA interest rate hike in February have increased. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, but employment fell and labor force participation dropped. Separately, the regulator APRA imposed new conditions on super fund HESTA due to risk management failures. Global markets showed a ‘risk-off’ tone, with Wall Street futures and Bitcoin falling.
Key Points
- RBA Rate Hike Bets Rise: Market pricing for a February RBA hike increased after the jobs data. Some economists warn persistent inflation could force the RBA’s hand, with markets pricing in about two hikes by end-2026.
- Mixed Labour Data: November unemployment remained at 4.3%, but employment fell by 21,000 and the underemployment rate spiked. Analysts view the market as still tight but gently easing.
- APRA Sanctions HESTA: The superannuation giant faces independent reviews of its board and risk management after a severe service outage earlier this year “caused direct harm to members.”
- Market Movements: ASX 200 edged up 0.1%. Wall Street futures fell, led by tech, and Bitcoin dropped ~2%, signaling a ‘risk-off’ sentiment. The Australian dollar weakened.
- Other News: Bupa fined $35m for misleading insurance claims. Myer shares surged 10% on strong sales update. Westpac’s Peter Nash likely retained his board seat despite investor protests.
Market Snapshot (as of Thursday 4:30pm AEDT)
- ASX 200: +0.1% at 8,592
- AUD/USD: -0.6% at 66.3 US cents
- Wall Street Futures: Dow (-1%), S&P (-0.6%), Nasdaq (-1.5%)
- Bitcoin: -1.9% at $90,290
- Iron Ore: +0.9% at $102.60/tonne
财经新闻简报
摘要
在澳大利亚就业数据好坏参半之后，市场对澳洲联储（RBA）在2月加息的预期有所上升。失业率维持在4.3%，但就业人数下降，劳动力参与率降低。此外，监管机构APRA因风险管理失误，对大型养老基金HESTA施加了新的许可条件。全球市场呈现”避险”情绪，华尔街期货和比特币下跌。
关键点
- 澳洲联储加息预期升温：就业数据公布后，市场对2月加息的押注增加。一些经济学家警告，持续的通胀可能迫使澳洲联储采取行动，市场预计到2026年底前约有两次加息。
- 劳动力数据喜忧参半：11月失业率维持在4.3%，但就业人数减少21,000人，就业不足率飙升。分析人士认为劳动力市场仍然紧张，但正在温和放缓。
- APRA对HESTA实施制裁：这家养老基金巨头因其今年早些发生的严重服务中断事件”对会员造成直接损害”，将面临对其董事会和风险管理的独立审查。
- 市场动态：ASX 200指数微涨0.1%。华尔街期货下跌，科技股领跌，比特币下跌约2%，显示出”避险”情绪。澳元走弱。
- 其他新闻：Bupa因误导性保险索赔被罚款3500万澳元。Myer发布强劲销售更新后股价飙升10%。尽管有投资者反对，西太平洋银行的Peter Nash很可能保住了董事会席位。
市场概览（截至澳大利亚东部夏令时周四下午4:30）
- ASX 200指数： +0.1%，报8,592点
- 澳元/美元： -0.6%，报66.3美分
- 华尔街期货： 道指(-1%)，标普(-0.6%)，纳斯达克(-1.5%)
- 比特币： -1.9%，报90,290美元
- 铁矿石： +0.9%，报102.60美元/吨
Original Article Link: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-11/asx-markets-business-live-news-dec-11-2025/106128346