Goldman’s Nachmann warns of ‘deployment pressure’ from explosion of evergreen funds

Market Brief: The Rise and Risks of Evergreen Funds

Summary

The rapid growth of evergreen funds, which offer wealthy individuals more liquidity in alternative assets, is creating market distortions. Fund managers are pressured to deploy capital immediately, potentially leading to poorer investment returns and increased competition, especially in secondary markets.

Key Points

  • Liquidity vs. Pressure: Evergreen funds are structured for more liquidity but require immediate capital deployment, pressuring managers to invest quickly rather than wait for optimal opportunities.
  • Market Distortion: The influx of capital from evergreen funds is narrowing discounts in secondary markets and could cap future returns or lead to market instability.
  • Goldman Sachs’ Concern: Marc Nachmann warns of the risk that deployment pressure may lead managers to pursue lower-return deals.
  • Explosive Growth: The evergreen fund market is estimated at $427 billion and could surpass $1 trillion in five years, though it remains a fraction of the traditional drawdown fund market (~$15 trillion).
  • Investor Education: “Semi-liquid” does not mean fully liquid; investors cannot expect to withdraw capital at any time as with public stocks.

市场简报:常青基金的崛起与风险

总结

常青基金快速增长,为高净值个人在另类资产中提供了更多流动性,但这也正在造成市场扭曲。基金经理面临立即部署资本的压力,可能导致投资回报率下降和市场竞争加剧,尤其是在二级市场。

关键点

  • 流动性与压力: 常青基金结构上提供更多流动性,但要求资本立即部署,这给基金经理带来压力,迫使他们快速投资,而非等待最佳时机。
  • 市场扭曲: 大量常青基金资本的涌入正在缩小二级市场的折价,并可能限制未来回报或导致市场不稳定。
  • 高盛的担忧: Marc Nachmann 警告称,部署压力可能导致基金经理追求回报率较低的交易。
  • 爆炸性增长: 常青基金市场规模估计为4270亿美元,并可能在五年内超过1万亿美元,但这仍只是传统缴款型基金市场(约15万亿美元)的一小部分。
  • 投资者教育: “半流动”并不意味着完全流动;投资者不能像买卖公开股票那样随时提取资金。

Original Article Link: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/04/goldmans-nachmann-deployment-pressure-evergreen-funds.html

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