Ford beats on earnings but lowers 2025 guidance after supplier fire

News Brief

Summary

Ford Motor exceeded Q3 2024 earnings expectations but lowered its 2025 financial guidance due to significant disruptions from a fire at an aluminum supplier’s plant, impacting production of high-profit trucks and SUVs.

Key Points

  • Q3 Performance: Beat earnings estimates with adjusted EPS of 45 cents vs. 36 cents expected; automotive revenue was $47.19B vs. $43.08B expected. Total quarterly revenue hit a record $50.5B.
  • 2025 Guidance Cut: Adjusted EBIT guidance lowered to $6B–$6.5B (from $6.5B–$7.5B); adjusted free cash flow reduced to $2B–$3B (from $3.5B–$4.5B).
  • Supplier Fire Impact: A fire at Novelis’s New York plant is expected to cost Ford $1.5B–$2B, with production losses of ~100,000 units this year. Ford plans to recover ~50% of lost production in 2025.
  • Mitigation Efforts: Adding 1,000 workers in early 2025 to boost truck production; the damaged plant section may restart by late November/early December.
  • Stock Movement: Shares rose ~4% after hours, up 24% year-to-date.
  • Segment Performance: Ford Pro EBIT reached ~$2B; Ford Blue EBIT was $1.54B; Model e EV losses widened to $1.41B.

新闻简报

总结

福特汽车第三季度盈利超出市场预期,但由于铝供应商工厂火灾导致高利润卡车和SUV生产中断,公司下调了2025年财务指引。

关键点

  • 第三季度业绩:调整后每股收益45美分,高于预期的36美分;汽车收入471.9亿美元,高于预期的430.8亿美元。季度总收入创纪录达505亿美元。
  • 2025年指引下调:调整后息税前利润指引降至60–65亿美元(原为65–75亿美元);调整后自由现金流降至20–30亿美元(原为35–45亿美元)。
  • 供应商火灾影响:Novelis纽约工厂火灾预计造成福特15–20亿美元损失,今年产量损失约10万辆。福特计划在2025年恢复约50%的损失产量。
  • 缓解措施:2025年初将增雇1000名工人以提高卡车产量;受损工厂部分预计11月底或12月初重启。
  • 股价变动:盘后股价上涨约4%,年内累计上涨24%。
  • 部门业绩:福特Pro部门息税前利润约20亿美元;福特Blue部门息税前利润15.4亿美元;Model e电动车部门亏损扩大至14.1亿美元。

Original Article Link: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/23/ford-motor-earnings-q3-2025.html

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