Analysts think Trump would block a Comcast-WBD deal. Comcast says M&A is ‘viable’

News Brief: Comcast M&A Prospects

Summary

Comcast executives have indicated that mergers and acquisitions in the media sector are more viable than public commentary suggests, specifically regarding potential interest in Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD). Despite significant regulatory concerns under a potential Trump administration, Comcast believes a strategically structured deal could gain approval.

Key Points

  • M&A Viability: Comcast CFO Mike Cavanagh stated that more M&A deals are “viable” than public perception indicates, though the company maintains a high bar for pursuing transactions.
  • Regulatory Hurdles: Analysts highlight major political challenges, citing President Trump’s past public criticism of Comcast and its CEO, Brian Roberts, suggesting a deal could be blocked by the Department of Justice.
  • Potential Deal Structures: Ideas to facilitate a deal include a spin-merge where Comcast spins off NBCUniversal to merge with WBD, or issuing new stock to dilute Roberts’ voting control, potentially appeasing regulators.
  • Asset Focus: Post-spinoff of its cable networks into “Versant,” Comcast’s future focus for M&A would be on streaming and studio assets, which align with WBD’s planned separation into streaming/studios and networks.
  • Precedent & Politics: While the AT&T-Time Warner court case sets a precedent for overcoming DOJ opposition, Comcast could also seek to improve its political standing, possibly through divestitures of contentious assets like CNN.

新闻简报:康卡斯特并购前景

总结

康卡斯特高管表示,媒体行业的并购交易比公开评论所暗示的更具可行性,特别是指对华纳兄弟探索公司潜在的兴趣。尽管在可能的特朗普政府下存在重大的监管担忧,但康卡斯特相信,通过战略性结构设计的交易仍有可能获得批准。

关键点

  • 并购可行性:康卡斯特首席财务官迈克·卡瓦纳表示,更多的并购交易是”可行的”,尽管公司对追求交易设定了很高的门槛。
  • 监管障碍:分析师们强调了重大的政治挑战,指出特朗普总统过去对康卡斯特及其CEO布莱恩·罗伯茨的公开批评,暗示交易可能被司法部阻止。
  • 潜在交易结构:为促成交易提出的构想包括:康卡斯特分拆NBC环球与WBD进行”分拆合并”,或发行新股以稀释罗伯茨的投票控制权,这可能使监管机构满意。
  • 资产焦点:在将其有线电视网络分拆为”Versant”之后,康卡斯特未来的并购重点将是流媒体和影视工作室资产,这与WBD计划分拆为流媒体/工作室和网络公司的方向一致。
  • 先例与政治:虽然AT&T收购时代华纳的法庭案例为克服司法部反对树立了先例,但康卡斯特也可能寻求改善其政治地位,例如通过剥离有争议的资产如CNN。

Original Article Link: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/30/comcast-wbd-deal-test-trump-regulators.html

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