What obesity drugmakers see next in the market: More pills, easier access and drug combinations

Obesity Drug Market Briefing

Summary

Industry executives at the JPMorgan Healthcare Conference outlined the future of the obesity drug market, moving beyond just weight loss efficacy. The next phase will focus on expanding treatment options (including pills and combinations), improving patient access, and tailoring therapies to individual needs. This evolution is expected to fuel a market projected to reach nearly $100 billion annually by 2030.

Key Points

  • Beyond Injections: The market is shifting from a “one-size-fits-all” model. Oral pills (from Lilly, Novo, and others) are seen as key to expanding the market by attracting patients averse to injections or seeking maintenance therapy.
  • Drug Combinations: The next frontier involves combining different mechanisms (e.g., GLP-1 with amylin or GIP) in single pills or regimens to enhance weight loss, improve tolerability, and address co-morbidities like fatty liver disease.
  • Novel Approaches: Companies like Wave Life Sciences are developing drugs that target fat burning instead of appetite, aiming for comparable weight loss with less frequent dosing and muscle preservation.
  • Improved Access: Efforts to improve access include lower cash prices, new Medicare coverage starting in 2024, and a growing direct-to-consumer channel, which already constitutes ~30% of the U.S. market.
  • Market Expansion: With only ~15 million patients currently on GLP-1s out of a vast potential pool, executives see significant room for growth through more options and better access, supporting the $100 billion market projection.

肥胖药物市场简报

文章总结

在摩根大通医疗健康会议上,行业高管们描绘了肥胖药物市场的未来,其发展将超越单纯的减重效果。下一阶段将侧重于扩大治疗选择(包括口服药和联合疗法)、改善患者可及性以及为个体需求定制疗法。这一演变预计将推动该市场在2030年前达到近千亿美元的年规模。

关键要点

  • 超越注射剂:市场正从“一刀切”模式转变。口服药(来自礼来、诺和诺德等公司)被视为扩大市场的关键,可以吸引不愿注射或寻求维持治疗的患者。
  • 药物联合疗法:下一个前沿领域涉及将不同机制(例如GLP-1与胰淀素或GIP)结合在单一药片或方案中,以增强减重效果、改善耐受性并解决如脂肪肝等共病。
  • 创新方法:诸如Wave Life Sciences等公司正在开发靶向脂肪燃烧而非抑制食欲的药物,旨在实现可比的减重效果,同时减少给药频率并保持肌肉量。
  • 改善可及性:改善可及性的努力包括降低现金价格、2024年启动的新的医疗保险覆盖,以及不断增长的直接面向消费者渠道,该渠道已占美国市场的约30%。
  • 市场扩张:目前仅有约1500万患者使用GLP-1药物,而潜在患者池巨大,高管们认为通过更多治疗选择和更好的可及性,市场还有显著增长空间,这支撑了千亿美元的市场预测。

Original Article Link: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/23/weight-loss-glp-1-drugs-next-steps-for-eli-lilly-novo-nordisk-pfizer.html

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