News Brief: English
Summary
Truist Securities analyst Barry Jonas suggests that 18- to 20-year-olds, who are typically too young for legal sports betting in the U.S., may be a significant driver behind the booming growth of prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket.
Key Points
- Youth Demographic: Prediction markets are open to users 18+, unlike legal online sports betting which is usually restricted to ages 21+.
- College Sports Focus: Data shows prediction platform Kalshi now handles more trades on college football than on the NFL or NBA, hinting at a younger user base.
- Filling a Legal Gap: These markets see higher adoption in states like California and Texas where licensed sports betting is illegal.
- Attracting Serious Bettors: Skilled gamblers may use prediction markets to place larger wagers, as they face betting limits on regulated sportsbooks.
- Regulatory Scrutiny: NCAA President Charlie Baker has asked regulators to ban college sports trading on prediction markets until better safeguards exist.
新闻简报：中文
摘要
Truist证券分析师巴里·乔纳斯指出，在美国大多数州因年龄限制无法合法参与体育博彩的18至20岁年轻人，可能是预测市场（如Kalshi和Polymarket）快速增长的重要推动力。
关键点
- 年轻用户群体：预测市场向18岁及以上用户开放，而合法的在线体育博彩通常限制为21岁及以上。
- 聚焦大学体育：数据显示，预测平台Kalshi在大学美式足球上的交易量已超过NFL和NBA，暗示其用户群体可能更年轻。
- 填补法律空白：在加利福尼亚州和德克萨斯州等未开放合法体育博彩的地区，预测市场的使用率更高。
- 吸引资深投注者：熟练的投注者可能因受正规体育博彩平台投注额限制，而转向预测市场进行更大额投注。
- 监管关注：NCAA主席查理·贝克已要求监管机构在建立更完善的保障措施之前，禁止预测市场交易大学体育赛事。
Original Article Link: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/15/prediction-markets-college-students-teens-could-be-fueling-the-boom.html